cbdc digital dollar Featured

2024-12-13 04:32:54

To understand this problem, we need to know the reasons for the divergence between the two indexes today, so as to judge the market trend in the later period.Now, if you look back at Friday's breakthrough in the broader market and the Xinhua News Agency's announcement over the weekend, you should have a new understanding of the next market!It can be seen from the trend of today's market and growth enterprise market that although the two important indexes are not too big in the end, the differentiation is still obvious. The market is still stable in the strong area above 3400 points and the 5-day line, while the GEM index is still in the box structure. Then, will the whole market continue to go up along the pace of the broader market, or will it fall back to the box structure with the GEM?


According to the latest inflation data released by the Bureau of Statistics, in November this year, China's consumer price index rose by 0.2% year-on-year, down by 0.1% compared with October. It has been slowly weakening for four consecutive months, and it is still near the zero axis. At the same time, the PPI decreased by 2.5% in November, which was slightly higher than that in October, but it still performed poorly.Therefore, no matter from the news or funds, the performance of the A-share market will not be too bad in the next period, especially during the two meetings!Seeing the momentum of last Friday, many friends will think that the performance of the A-share market will not be too bad this Monday. However, what everyone didn't expect was that today's market not only didn't continue to be strong, but even a round of rapid diving appeared in the afternoon, which surprised everyone into a cold sweat. The growth enterprise market refers to a worse situation. Last Friday, it finally broke through the pressure level of the 20-day line, and today it fell back. This situation of breaking through the key pressure level and falling back quickly is usually called a false breakthrough, which is a main form of main force attracting more; On the contrary, it is the usual skill of the main force to wash the dishes in a broken position, fall through the key support level and then collect them quickly.


In Jun Ge's view, today's market and GEM index failed to continue the trend of last Friday, and the GEM index performed worse, which is closely related to the latest changes in news and funds.From these two sets of inflation data and the PMI data released in November, we can see that in recent months, although high-level officials have continuously introduced a large number of measures to stabilize the economy, the recovery speed of China's economic fundamentals is not fast. As a result, many investors will question whether we can successfully complete the economic growth target set by the top management at the beginning of the year in the fourth quarter.Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!

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